Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Week 11 Fantasy Football Player Projections

Here we go for Week 11. Recapping last week, the projections appeared to be pretty solid with a highly accurate projection for top RB Chris Johnson, and some real nice WR sleepers identified. Favre was a bit of a disappointment, but was really just a TD away from hitting his projection, and they turned the ball over in the red zone three times in the first half. Lets just call that one the evils of variance. I would guess that you could have made some money with the posted Week 10 projections over at Fantasy Sports Live. For Week 11 fantasy football player projections, I added a couple of refinements from last week. I have improved the kickers opponent strength rankings by fully using the FSL scoring system for kicker defense. Last week an approximation was used. I also have implemented a home field advantage factor. This week it is based on general home field advantage for all teams this year. Next week, I will probably take this to another level as well. So this weeks Fantasy Football player projections are based on average fantasy points per game, modified for strength of schedule. This is then further modified with an opponents strength factor, and generic home field advantage factor. Fantasy scoring is based on FantasySportsLive.com's scoring system. Other scoring systems may vary. Top picks against the FSL salary cap are in red. No adjustments for injuries or chance of playing have been made. There are no real great WR picks this week since A. Johnson is playing on Monday Night. Both him and Schaub are expected to go huge Monday.

Week 11 Fantasy QB Projections

37.3 Matt Schaub
27.5 Drew Brees
23.1 Kurt Warner
22.3 Brett Favre
21.9 Donovan McNabb
21.2 Aaron Rodgers
20.3 Eli Manning
20 Jay Cutler
19.9 Ben Roethlisberger
19.2 Matt Ryan
18.2 Kyle Orton
17.7 Peyton Manning
17.2 Tom Brady
17 Matt Hasselbeck
16.5 Philip Rivers
16.4 Matthew Stafford
15.8 Tony Romo
15 Carson Palmer
14.3 Jason Campbell
14 Mark Sanchez

Week 11 Fantasy WR Projections

16.9 Andre Johnson
13.1 Larry Fitzgerald
13 Steve Smith
11.9 Reggie Wayne
11.9 Brandon Marshall
11.5 Randy Moss
11.3 Marques Colston
10.9 Sidney Rice
10.6 Hakeem Nicks
10.5 Vincent Jackson
10.5 Mario Manningham
10.2 Roddy White
10.2 Wes Welker
10.1 Donald Driver
9.6 Miles Austin
9.5 DeSean Jackson
9.3 Hines Ward
9.1 Dwayne Bowe
9 Chad Ochocinco
9 Steve Breaston
9 Mike Sims-Walker
8.6 Devin Hester
8.5 Steve Smith
8.2 Derrick Mason
8.1 Kevin Walter

Week 11 Fantasy RB Projections

31.8 Maurice Jones-Drew
23.9 Cedric Benson
23.2 Chris Johnson
20.4 Adrian Peterson
18.3 Kevin Smith
17.4 Ray Rice
17.1 Michael Turner
15.3 DeAngelo Williams
13.8 Pierre Thomas
13.7 Steven Jackson
13.1 Ronnie Brown
13.1 Tim Hightower
12.7 Ricky Williams
12.2 Rashard Mendenhall
12 Matt Forte
10.9 Reggie Bush
10.8 Carnell Williams
10.7 Steve Slaton
10.5 Ryan Grant
10.4 Frank Gore
10 Ahmad Bradshaw
9.9 Marion Barber
9.5 Brandon Jacobs
9.5 Jonathan Stewart
9.4 Joseph Addai

Week 11 Fantasy TE Projections

12.8 Vernon Davis
12.6 Kellen Winslow
12.5 Brent Celek
12.3 Greg Olsen
11.6 Visanthe Shiancoe
10 Dallas Clark
9.7 Tony Gonzalez
9.5 Jeremy Shockey
9.1 Heath Miller
8.3 Antonio Gates
8.1 John Carlson
7.9 Chris Cooley
7.5 Kevin Boss
7.4 Ben Patrick
7.4 Daniel Fells
6.9 Zach Miller
6.9 Benjamin Watson
6.6 Spencer Havner
6.4 Jermichael Finley
6.3 Dante Rosario
6.3 Todd Heap
6.2 Tony Scheffler
5.7 Dustin Keller
5.5 Derek Schouman
5.1 Jason Witten

Week 11 Fantasy K Projections

9.6 Mason Crosby
9.2 John Carney
8.9 Ryan Longwell
8.7 David Akers
8.4 Lawrence Tynes
8.2 Matt Stover
8.2 Nate Kaeding
8 Nick Folk
7.9 Stephen Gostkowski
7.5 Jeff Reed
7.3 Matt Prater
7.2 Dan Carpenter
7.1 Shayne Graham
7.1 Rob Bironas
7 Olindo Mare
7 Rian Lindell
7 John Kasay
6.7 Kris Brown
6.6 Steven Hauschka
6.3 Jason Hanson
6.2 Neil Rackers
6.1 Jay Feely
5.8 Robbie Gould
5.7 Shaun Suisham
5.4 Billy Cundiff

Week 11 Fantasy Defense Projections

21.8 Cincinnati Bengals
16.1 Pittsburgh Steelers
14.8 Arizona Cardinals
14.8 New Orleans Saints
14.1 Dallas Cowboys
13.6 Philadelphia Eagles
10.7 Minnesota Vikings
10 New England Patriots
9.9 Green Bay Packers
8 Miami Dolphins
7.3 San Diego Chargers
6.9 Indianapolis Colts
6.8 Buffalo Bills
6.6 Houston Texans
6.4 San Francisco 49ers
6.3 Cleveland Browns
6.3 Detroit Lions
6.2 Jacksonville Jaguars
5.7 Washington Redskins
5.5 New York Giants
4.6 Carolina Panthers
4.2 Atlanta Falcons
4 Denver Broncos
3.8 Tennessee Titans
3.7 Kansas City Chiefs
3.7 Oakland Raiders
3.5 Chicago Bears
2.1 St. Louis Rams
1.9 Baltimore Ravens
0.9 New York Jets
0.9 Seattle Seahawks
-1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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